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Impacts of NIL and the Portal

NIL and heavy portal movement are in transisiton, likely to look much different in the near future. But where we stand now, there are some aspects of their impact that haven't been discussed much. Here are three, ones where I'm not clear what the NIL/portal impact has been and might go:

Participation Levels in Football
A number of studies have shown a steady decline in the number of high school boys participating in football. While a few states (Alabama, Mississippi, Texas) have shown increased player participation, most have shown steady declines, and in some cases (California, Michigan, North Carolina, Illinois) they have been steep. The question I have is whether the opportunity for NIL cash rewards, and the publicity about NIL (and potentially collective bargaining paydays in the future) will encourage higher levels of high school football participation. For struggling families, or kids who see the gold chains and bling available for 18-year-old college students, football could be seen as a quick means to that end.

Portal impact on GPI levels and Team APR Scores
I'm unclear on how athlete GPI levels and team APR scores are impacted by heavy portal use. The NCAA still has sanctions in place for schools with low APR scores, and it's unclear to me how those rates are calculated with players bouncing around from school to school. The most recent football APR rates I could find were from 2022-23, with CU having a score of 960, 90th nationally and 14th in the Big-12. I wonder how APR levels will fit with the the emerging pay-for-play transfer pattern.

Portal and NIL Impact on Team Cohesion
This is an area I've wondered about. It used to be that football team character would change when the head coach changed, but otherwise, was pretty considtent. A number of very successful college coaches built their success by having a solid, consistent team culture, with shared value systems and year-to-year continuity. Dabo Sweeney, Kyle Whittingham, Nick Saban, Dave Clauson, Pat Narduzzi, and Matt Campbell are coaches who fit this mold. However, high levels of player changover through the portal must take a toll on this team personality, along with the sudden emergence of some players being flush with money, and all that goes with it. Some coaches like Sweeney have attempted to avoid the portal, but in doing so, may be at a disadvantage talent-wise. It seems that the fundamental character of college football teams is changing with NIL and the portal.

Buffs NewsStand - Oct 13/14

BZ: FB - Football: CU Buffs try to look forward, focus on Arizona

BZ: FB - CU Buffs let opportunity slip away in loss to Kansas State

BZ: FB CU football notes: Travis Hunter, three other receivers injured in Buffs’ loss to Kansas State

BZ: FB - Snapshot: Key points, game balls from CU Buffs’ loss to Kansas State

BZ: FB - Video: Analysis of CU Buffs’ loss to Kansas State

BZ: FB - Rooney: Familiar struggles resurface for CU Buffs in loss against K-State

CU AD: SOC - Colorado, UCF Play to a Scoreless Draw (The Buffaloes record their second consecutive draw)

CU AD: FB - Takeaways From Buffs Vs. Kansas State

CU AD: VB - Colorado Takes Down UCF in Five

CUATG Blog: FB - Essay (Excellent Advice) Disappointed, but Not Discouraged

CUATG Blog: FB - Big 12 Notes – Utah falls out of AP poll; Iowa State moves into the the Top Ten + Big 12 lines for Week Eight – CU opens as a 3.5-point road underdog

CUATG Blog: FB - October 12th – Boulder - No. 31 Kansas State 31, Colorado 28

Ralphie Report: FB - Colorado showcases impressive resilience in loss to K-State (The Buffs couldn’t come away with the statement win, but made a statement anyway.)

Ralphie Report: FB - An in-depth look at the Buffs loss to Kansas State (A look at what went wrong and right for Colorado)

USA Today: FB - Deion Sanders, Colorado lose more than a game: 'That took a lot out of us' (The loss to Kansas State shows the Buffaloes can hang with a good team but still have big problems to solve.)

Athlon Sports: FB - Shedeur Sanders' First Post After Colorado’s Loss to Kansas State (Positive)

SI: FB - Colorado's questionable lineup changes hurt more than injuries against Kansas State

SI: FB - What Kansas State's Chris Klieman said about alleged fake injuries vs. Colorado (Many believe the Wildcats' gameplan was taken to another level on Saturday night)

SI: FB - Deion Sanders believes refs blew call on Colorado's final play vs. Kansas State (Coach Prime believes Will Sheppard was hit early to end the Buffs drive)

SI: FB - Shilo Sanders wasn't ready and Coach Prime knew it: "I thought he played horrible"

Buffs Wire: FB - Recapping Colorado's narrow loss to Kansas State

Buffs Wire: FB - What we learned from the Buffs' near-upset of Kansas State

Buffs Wire: FB - Updated Big 12 power rankings: Where do the Buffs sit after KSU loss?

Buffs Wire: FB - K-State head coach explains unusual string of Wildcat injuries during Colorado game

Buffs Wire: FB - Big names in the house for Colorado vs. Kansas State

Buffs Wire: MBB - Takeaways from Colorado men's basketball's open scrimmage

Cheers!

10.13.24 AP Poll - CU loses all their votes

1-Texas (56 1st place votes)
2-Oregon (6)
3-Penn St
4-Ohio St
5-Georgia
6-Miami
7-Alabama
8-LSU
9-Iowa St
10-Clemson
11-Tennessee
12-Notre Dame
13-BYU
14-A&M
15-Boise St
16-Indiana
17-Kansas St
18-Ole Miss
19-Missouri
20-Pitt
21-SMU
22-Illinois
23-Army
24-Michigan
25-Navy
Others receiving votes:
Vanderbilt 68, Nebraska 62, Arizona St. 39, Oklahoma 36, Washington St. 32, Iowa 29, Texas Tech 18, Syracuse 13, Arkansas 13, Utah 7, Louisville 6, Southern Cal 5, Liberty 2, UNLV 1.
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Takeaways: CU hit with adversity in loss to No. 18 Kansas State

Colorado’s performance against No. 18 Kansas State wasn’t perfect, and ultimately that's what cost it the game, but the Buffs were faced with having to overcome a number of hurdles Saturday night.

My takeaways from last night's loss:

10.12.24 Undefeated and bowl eligible teams

Again I have done this type thread for the past few years:

Army 6-0 (Bowl eligible)
BYU 6-0 (Bowl eligible)
Indiana 6-0 (Bowl eligible)
Iowa State 6-0 (Bowl eligible)
Miami 6-0 (Bowl eligible)
Oregon 6-0 (Bowl eligible)
Penn State 6-0 (Bowl eligible)
Pittsburgh 6-0 (Bowl eligible)
Texas 6-0 (Bowl eligible)

Undefeated but not bowl eligible
Liberty 5-0
Navy 5-0

There are 24 teams with 5 wins, the winner of the CU game will be 25th and if Boise wins they will be 26th

They have to fix targeting.

This is just stupid at this point. Calls are inconstant - Miami wins by not having it called and now UA loses thier best guy all day for the call.

You can’t call it consistently correctly and it’s been shown over and over. Then when you do get it right you have to fix this and
Make the first one just a penalty. Second one toss him rest of the game and leave the red card rule in effect

Over / Under week 6 vs KSU

Here are the picks for week 6 against KSU.
Don't forget the tiebreakers.

1) CU Points - 25.5
2) KSU Points - 30.5
3) CU Passing yds - 317.5
4) CU Total Net Rushing Yds - 102.5
5) KSU Total Net Rushing Yds - 218.5
6) CU 1st Downs - 20.5
7) CU Average Yds per All Plays - 6.25
8) CU QB Pass Completion % - 60.55
9) # Catches by Shepard and Smalls - 6.5
10) CU Average Yds per Punt - 44.25 Yds

TB1 - CU Tackles for Loss
TB2 - CU Time of Possession

SKO BUFFS!

Buffs NewsStand - Oct 12 Game Day

BZ: FB - Football: CU Buffs aim to keep momentum rolling as K-State visits Folsom Field

BZ: FB - Football: CU Buffs vs. Kansas State scouting report

BZ: FB - Video: Previewing and projecting CU Buffs football vs. No. 18 Kansas State

BZ: FB - BuffZone podcast: Previewing Colorado football vs. K-State

BZ: MBB - Developing scoring roles a preseason key for CU Buffs men’s basketball

BZ: WBB - Women’s basketball: Amid growing pains, CU Buffs enjoying positive vibes with new roster

CU AD: FB - Fast Five: Keys For Buffaloes Vs. Kansas State

CUATG Blog: FB - Folsom Field turns 100 today, with the first CU game played at the stadium (not named after Fred Folsom until after WWII) was a 39-0 victory over Regis

CUATG Blog: FB - Big 12 Notes – Big 12 Commissioner Brett Yormark: “I don’t wake up thinking about the Big Ten and the SEC”

Ralphie Report: FB - Injury Report: Shilo Sanders to make return against K-State (The Buffs will get Shilo back, but could still be without some key pieces.)

Ralphie Report: FB - Preview: Colorado takes on Kansas State in biggest test yet (The Buffs could announce themselves as Big 12 contenders.)

Heartland Sports: FB - Fact or Fiction Friday: Colorado is a Big 12 Title Contender

Heartland Sports: FB - Ten Things That Will Decide Kansas State vs. Colorado

SI: FB - Colorado vs. Kansas State prediction: Who wins, and why?

SI: FB - Deion Sanders says Buffaloes learn more from wins than losses with KSU as the test (Coach Prime hits a make-or-break point in the season with a lot on the line)

SI: FB - Travis Hunter shows off custom black diamond cleats ahead of Kansas State (The Heisman hopeful will have a new set of spikes this week)

Buffs Wire: FB - Three-star UCF commit visiting Colorado for game against Kansas State

Buffs Wire: FB - How the Buffs' offense can find success against K-State

Cheers!

Travis Hunter injured?

Hey everyone, just caught up with a couple well off videos. The first had Travis sitting out, which he does time to time because he gets days off since he goes both ways. However, the next one he also was sitting out, and had a knee sleeve, not a brace, but a sleeve on his left knee. Does anyone know if there’s anything to be concerned about?
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Dylan Edwards' Return

Seems he has been underused so far at KSU, but seems to do well when he gets the opportunity. I wonder if they will try to incorporate him more against us. If we stick to man, I can see them trying to get him in space to use his speed to make something happen. I hope he doesn't get his "revenge" like Gonzo got when he came back with Oregon (even though I didn't think there were hard feelings on his side.)

  • Poll
Rest of the Season

How do we finish out the last 7 games

  • 2-5 - Just squeak into a bowl

    Votes: 2 9.1%
  • 3-4 Better Bowl

    Votes: 10 45.5%
  • 4-3 wow 8-4 would look great fo CU

    Votes: 8 36.4%
  • 5-2 9 win season!!!

    Votes: 1 4.5%
  • 6-1 10 Wins No Excuses

    Votes: 1 4.5%

So I have to say I felt we would be 3-2 at this point, so excited as heck that we already have 4 wins. I really hope the staff learned from last year and we close strong.
7 games left I thought I would see where everyone's head is at. I think bowl game is al but guaranteed at this point. Do we go3-4, 4-3 or wow even hope for 5-2.
I also did this so @dtownbuff stops muddying up my prediction thread making Monday a pain to figure out the winner.
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